Good
intentions frequently lead to unintended bad consequences. Tough choices,
doing what is right, often leads to unanticipated good results.
The growing demand by the American people for us to leave
Iraq prompts the naysayers to predict disaster in the
Middle East if we do. Of course, these merchants of fear are the same ones who
predicted that invading and occupying
Iraq would be a slam dunk operation; that we would be welcomed as liberators, and
oil revenues would pay for the operation with minimal loss of American lives.
All of this hyperbole came while ignoring the precise warnings by our
intelligence community of the great difficulties that would lie ahead. The
chaos that this preemptive, undeclared war has created in
Iraq has allowed the Al Qaida to establish a foothold in
Iraq and the strategic interests of
Iran to be served.
The
unintended consequences have been numerous. A well-intended but flawed
policy that ignored credible warnings of how things could go awry has produced
conditions that have led to a war dominated by procrastination, without victory
or resolution in sight.
Those
who want a total military victory, which no one has yet defined, don't have
the troops, the money, the equipment or the support of a large majority of the
American people to do so.
Those
in Congress who have heard the cry of the electorate to end the war refuse to do
so out of fear, the demagogues will challenge their patriotism and support of
the troops so nothing happens except more of the same. The result is
continued stalemate with the current policy and the daily sacrifice of American
lives.
This
wait and see attitude in Washington, and the promised reassessment of events in
Iraq later on, strongly motivates the insurgents to accelerate the killing of
Americans in order to influence the decision coming in three months. In
contrast, a clear decision to leave would prompt a wait and see attitude in
Iraq, a de facto cease fire, in anticipation of our leaving, the perfect time
for the Iraqi factions to hold their fire on each other and on our troops and
just possibly begin talking with each other.
Most
Americans do not anticipate a military victory in
Iraq
, yet the
Washington politicians remain frozen in their unwillingness to change our policy there,
fearful of the dire predictions that conditions can only get worse when we
leave. They refuse to admit that the condition of foreign occupation is
the key ingredient that unleashed the civil war now raging in
Iraq and serves as a recruitment device for Al Qaida.
It's
time for a change in our foreign policy.